North Korea continues to present a special set of challenges for intelligence. Indeed, those challenges will only increase if recent summitry leads to serious conversation about denuclearization.
Intelligence issues can be divided into puzzles and mysteries. The former have an answer, but we can spend billions solving them with a determined secretive and secretive adversary. Mysteries, however, have no answer: they are contingent, and depend on many factors, including how the United States acts.
Experts are asking the same question: is Kim Jong-un serious? And what is China’s role?
Download: The Special Intelligence Challenges of North Korea
Greg Treverton recently returned from a conference in Seoul, South Korea. He is an SMA Executive Advisor and former Chair of the US National Intelligence Council.