Whither Nuclear Deterrence?

From the end of the Soviet Union until now, the sole purpose of nuclear weapons was to deter nuclear attacks. SMA Executive Advisor Greg Treverton fears that has changed.

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Europe Coming Apart?

Will the European Union become less effective as an American partner? SMA Executive Advisor Greg Treverton looks at the EU's financial problems, Muslim immigration, and political shifts

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The Chinese Way of War…and Ours

SMA Executive Advisor Greg Treverton suggests that the US need to rethink its "way of war," designed for a time that has passed, to counter the Chinese projection of power.

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North Korea a Year Later: Demonstrating Einstein?

Einstein supposedly said, “The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result.” SMA Executive Advisor Greg Treverton asks whether, one year on, the US is expecting a different result from North Korea.

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Rebuilding Strategic Thinking

Not just strategic analysis but strategy is more important now than ever. Churchill is said to have commented after a particularly undistinguished meal, “The pudding lacked a theme.” That is too, too true of the world before us. If that world is less existentially dangerous than the high Cold W

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Parsing the Xi Puzzle

Chinese President Xi Jinping is a puzzle. He understands our politics better than we understand his, but will he win the trade war with President Trump?

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The Parlous Future of Non-Proliferation

The strategic context for countering the proliferation of what are unhelpfully called weapons of mass destruction (WMD), has changed dramatically without many observers quite noticing. As with so much of the international noise with which the world deals today, the changes predated the Trump admini

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Hybrid Threats: Challenges for Intelligence

Hybrid threats cover the range from propaganda to what is often called warfare in the “gray zone,” using proxies or “little green men.” Yet the focus of more recent concern is threats and attacks that seek to remain below the level of kinetic war. What challenges does this create for intelli

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